Bitcoin Set to Soar? CryptoQuant Predicts $160K–$200K Price This Quarter

 Bitcoin Enters Q4 2025 With Bullish Momentum: Analysts Predict $160K–$200K by Year-End



Bitcoin has kicked off the final quarter of 2025 under conditions that many analysts say could spark a major rally. According to new research from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, the world’s leading cryptocurrency may surge to between $160,000 and $200,000 by the end of the year—if current demand trends remain intact.

Rising Spot Demand Signals Strength

CryptoQuant highlighted that Bitcoin’s spot demand has been steadily increasing since July, with monthly growth exceeding 62,000 BTC. The firm noted that similar demand surges preceded powerful fourth-quarter rallies in 2020, 2021, and 2024.

At the same time, whale accumulation has accelerated. Large holders are expanding their reserves at an annual pace of 331,000 BTC, compared to 255,000 in Q4 2024 and 238,000 at the start of Q4 2020. This uptick in whale buying aligns with broader institutional interest, particularly in the U.S.

Institutional Appetite Growing

Spot Bitcoin ETFs listed in the United States continue to absorb massive inflows. In Q4 2024, they purchased 213,000 BTC, a 71% jump from the previous quarter. According to Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, similar levels of demand may be seen in the current quarter as institutional adoption deepens.



Key Technical Breakthrough

From a technical perspective, analysts believe Bitcoin needed to surpass the realized on-chain price of $116,000 to re-enter its bull cycle. Having recently traded around $117,300, the cryptocurrency has cleared this threshold, paving the way for further upside potential.

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index—which measures market conditions before bullish phases—stood between 40 and 50 at the close of Q3 2025. This level mirrors the same readings from late Q3 2024, just before Bitcoin surged from $70,000 to $100,000.

Market Conditions Favor a Rally

Several factors are currently supporting Bitcoin’s bullish setup:

  • Expanding stablecoin liquidity, which boosts market capital flows.

  • Lower levels of unrealized trader profits, reducing immediate selling pressure.

  • Continued institutional and whale accumulation, signaling strong long-term confidence.

Broader Forecasts Align With CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant is not alone in its optimistic outlook. Standard Chartered Bank, Bitwise, and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee have all projected Bitcoin could touch $200,000 by the end of 2025. Looking further ahead, Standard Chartered has even forecasted that Bitcoin could climb to $500,000 by 2028, citing broader investor access and decreasing volatility as key drivers.

The Bottom Line

As Bitcoin enters Q4 2025, a perfect storm of technical, on-chain, and institutional factors appears to be aligning. If current momentum holds, the cryptocurrency market could be on the verge of another historic rally—potentially sending Bitcoin to new all-time highs before the year is out.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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